MORE GREAT NEWS-GOP TAKES FIRST LEAD IN GENERAL BALLOT

The GOP has taken its first lead in the generic national ballot.  The Iowa Standard, great Iowa political website, has the latest Emerson poll now showing Hinson up 5 and Zahn only down 3.  Third story down as of this edition at the Iowa Standard.

The news is better than it seems.  The last two times the Democrats won the midterms with a Republican President in the White House were 2006 and 2018.  The Dem/Com margin in 2006 was 11.5% on Election Day, down from the mid 20%s during the summer.  The Dem/Com advantage was down to 7.3% in 2018, also falling from a nearly 20 point lead in the summer, between Memorial Day and Labor Day.

The average skew Democrat has been growing throughout the current century.  The Owl did a deep dive into the polling errors and bias back in August.  The conclusion, of both experts and the Owl is polling no longer reflects actual public sentiment.  The most significant reason for the polling error is the intentional failure to poll Republicans.  Dem/Com polling has routinely shown margins of error greater than 20% in multiple states.  Quantas Data concluded:

"The forecast didn’t fail because of volatility. It failed because of its own architecture—one that embedded bias at the structural level, amplified polling error rather than smoothing it, and rewarded the illusion of precision over actual accuracy."

The reduced ability to commit fraud is another significant advantage the GOP did not possess in big Senate swings in 2000, 2006, 2018 and 2022.  Fraud is now an integral part of Dem/Com election strategy.  They need endless voting and thousands of flawed ballots in close races.  Those same areas that always are fraudulent are going to be swarming with DOJ election monitors, ICE (yes, every American should want to scare aliens, legal or illegal away from polling places), US Marshalls and the FBI all prepared to seize ballots in places like Phoenix, Seattle, Portland, Atlanta, Austin, Philadelphia, North Carolina, New Hampshire and northern Virginia.

If any polling shows a GOP lead, we can add 3-7% to that lead for the actual turnout.  Now, let's spread the good news and raise morale among dispirited GOP voters, demoralize Democrats, who are in a civil war between their European socialist wing and their large Chinese/Cuban fully Stalinist Communists, complete with death camps, political murder, widespread political violence and show trials.  This civil war is going to really hurt the Dem/Com fraudulent tactics in places like Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Maine.  So vote and campaign like your life depends on it, because it might.